Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.429873 0.508213 0.595512 0.699824 0.820887 0.956771 1.120657
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.340603 0.444931 0.572027 0.737545 0.946631 1.201126 1.533443
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.296734 0.424040 0.591974 0.827935 1.148838 1.567640 2.152773
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.236958 0.369394 0.557983 0.842817 1.258019 1.836182 2.695882
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.200589 0.339137 0.550917 0.892679 1.423228 2.206291 3.437052
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.169465 0.309656 0.538872 0.932562 1.580641 2.589987 4.259072
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.139340 0.274672 0.510871 0.941597 1.691357 2.919826 5.050284
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.115697 0.245307 0.486062 0.950693 1.802941 3.266798 5.919595
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.101268 0.229743 0.482503 0.996259 1.984457 3.755504 7.093824
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.095924 0.231180 0.511207 1.106997 2.301623 4.523190 8.855651
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.084706 0.217274 0.506470 1.151069 2.499035 5.100540 10.349507
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071020 0.194226 0.477755 1.140275 2.585651 5.480796 11.523646
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.056806 0.166515 0.433915 1.091040 2.590447 5.713705 12.468338
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046082 0.144598 0.398550 1.053813 2.614830 5.990186 13.540364
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041775 0.138984 0.401848 1.108751 2.855096 6.751255 15.714983
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.034434 0.122324 0.372990 1.078639 2.892883 7.081391 17.017154
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030441 0.114667 0.366521 1.104725 3.070300 7.745657 19.135075
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.026861 0.107219 0.358938 1.126425 3.240648 8.416729 21.352752
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022952 0.097318 0.341751 1.117887 3.331628 8.912861 23.228192
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019788 0.089004 0.327400 1.114624 3.436272 9.456153 25.282863
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.018058 0.085610 0.328107 1.156989 3.674080 10.362434 28.328292
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.017955 0.088815 0.351797 1.275871 4.148229 11.930317 33.192452
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.016432 0.085498 0.352116 1.319951 4.411752 12.980783 36.861526